While the Dodgers' season still has 97% it's games left to play (yes I did the math), we have already begun to draw some pretty obvious conclusions. This team, for all of the new ownership's future presence is worth is pretty much the same team as last year. You can assume all you want about that this year having a fresh breath of air that might breed success and positivity. For that I will not disagree but unfortunately this still looks to be the team with a Cy Young pitcher and marginal run support. The MVP- type talents of Matt Kemp are now truly realized and the potential of Dee Gordon's raw athleticism at the leadoff/SS role is infinite. My biggest question coming into 2012 was which Andre Ethier would we come to expect and would he figure to be a key part of the franchise going forward?
Was the Andre Ethier who ran a hitting streak to 30 games at the beginning of last season only dissapear into the dog days of summer with nagging injuries the guy we were to expect to roaming around RF in Chavez Ravine? Or would we ever again see the guy who came to be known as Mr. Clutch, while littering the 08-09 seasons with countless game winning hits and walk-off home runs? The recent signings of both Prince Fielder with the Detroit Lions and Albert Pujols with the Angels had to resonate with Ethier as he was preparing to come into spring camp. The market value for a left handed power hitter was set pretty high with those contracts and all the while he was watching his outfield mate, Matt Kemp, sign the largest contract in franchise history. With plenty of prime years remaining Ethier had to see all this offseason activity and be thinking the proverbial "What about me?".
As the questions surrounding his health were cleared up this spring, it seemed as if Andre was in perfect position to get himself back to the peak form that Dodger fans enjoyed in years past. He also seemed primed to put himself back in the spotlight for one last major contract. After 5 games Ethier's numbers are huge, and Kemp is telling the media he'd prefer that Ethier get a contract extension sooner than later. My intuition is that Ethier continues on his torrid pace with the bat throughout the first half of the season, the new ownership will make their first order of business giving him a large contract somewhere in the rance of 6 years and 120 million. That would lock him up through the rest of his prime and have his contract expire the same year as Matt Kemp's. If this franchise plans on turning a new leaf and making big free agent splashes in the next few years, the big money free agents are going to want to see some sort of foundation built. Pujols signed with the Angels because he was the "next piece" on already well constructed team, and same with Fielder to the tigers.
My speculation is that baseball is starting to go the way of the NBA, where big name free agents want to be the "right fit" on a team that is ready to compete for a world title. We all watched Jason Werth take the biggest money possible with the Washington Nationals and I'm not sure we'll ever hear from him again. Don't get me wrong, there's NOTHING wrong with making that kind of money, but guys like Ethier (and the type of free agents Dodger fans hope LA will start to go after) hit the age of 30 and start to think about their legacy. He's off to a hot start, and for all we know that might that be all it is, "a good first 5 games." Or we could see Matt Kemp getting his biggest MVP competition from within his own clubhouse. If it's anything closer to the latter, look for Ethier to give his agent permission to talk Kemp-like numbers with the new head honchos. Maybe then big name free agents might start throwing the Dodgers on their wishlist because they feel something special might be brewing.
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